• Home
  • Books, Radio, TV
  • Blog
  • Contact

Gambling on God

2/26/2012

 
Picture
Hung-to-the-over and clutching at a bottle of warm Coke, I sat through most of Alien 4 today. It’s not a good movie, but it’s more interesting that the previous two in the Alien franchise (none of them come close to the original’s shock and awe). The director, Jean-Pierre Jeunet, plays it for laughs, insofar as a movie about chest-bursting aliens can be funny. Heroine Ellen Ripley has been reconstructed from a blood sample of her former self, along with an ickle baby alien insider her (“Oogie-woo, who’s a pretty boy? Don't bite. It's rude.”) The monster is removed surgically and allowed to grow into a Queen. The Queen retains Ripley’s ability to reproduce in the mammalian manner (ie, the father is down the pub throughout) and gives birth to a bouncing baby boy – who then kills his alien mother with a mean right hook. Ripley, understandably conflicted, then kills her “son” by burning a window open with her acidic blood and flushing him out into space. If all this didn’t take place in the year 2525, it could easily be a Greek myth. There’s certainly the right amount of incest and matricide. 

Incredibly, there’s a moment in Alien 4 when an android sees a crucifix and crosses itself. “Are you programmed for that, too?” asks Ripley. Crucially, no – for we learn that the androids have been gifted free will by their creators.

One of the themes of the Alien series is how man is surpassed by the things around him. He is outlived and outpaced by animals and by even the robots that he built. That the android believes in God suggests that life doesn’t begin and end with man. Ripley is a zombie, but the android is alive and – as Ripley points out – more compassionate and therefore more “alive” than her human colleagues. Even the aliens have started to surpass us. When Ripley’s oozing baby is born, we glimpse the future. Who knows, perhaps even the chestbursters will one day sing “Nearer My God to Thee” as they fly merrily from their eggs?

Androids believe in God, but scientists don’t: or at least geneticist Richard Dawkins says he doesn’t. Or does he? He can’t be sure…

In a debate with Rowan Williams this week, he admitted that he is an agnostic. Dawkins said that he is only “6.9 out of seven” sure of the absence of God but that “the probability of a supernatural creator existing is very very low.” I’m surprised at the level of surprise that this statement has garnered, for he has indeed insisted many times before that he can’t dismiss the possibility of God. But what is surprising is that Dawkins can consider that possibility and then so quickly disregard it. For the possibility of God existing is far more mind-blowing than the likelihood that he does not.

I don’t want to make the case for Pascal’s Wager being a determinant of faith. “Betting of God” is a shallow approach to religion and isn’t what motivates anyone but Pascal to follow one. But it’s also an odd reason to discount the existence of God, too. When it comes to theology, probability and consequence are not proportionate to another. The probability of God existing might be low but the consequences if he does are high. Vice versa, the probability of God not existing might be high but the consequences of that outcome are very low.

Consider the calculations that a man makes when insuring his house from fire. If the chances of his houses catching fire are just one-in-a-hundred, he might forgo purchasing insurance because he gambles that he’s unlikely to ever need it. Yet all of us would still make the purchase because the consequences of that one-in-a-hundred accident happening are so unbearably dire. A single, improbable spark could destroy everything. Therefore, the man buys the insurance.

If Dawkins is playing the law of averages, then he has to make the same calculation about God. To be sure, he only acknowledges a 1.5 percent chance that the Almighty exists. If his gamble is proven right, then Dawkins will die and suffer no consequences. But if that 1.5 percent chance comes through, the consequences are hugely disproportionate to the stakes. One of the reasons why I go to Church is that I don’t want to run the risk of spending eternity in Hell with Richard Dawkins. Even a 1.5 percent risk isn’t worth running.

To re-emphasize, I don’t want to push Pascal’s Wager – but it does strike me as odd that if an intelligent man would concede that there is a 1.5 percent chance that something is true (especially when something has the weight of 2,000 years of civilization behind it), he wouldn’t explore it more seriously. It’s even odder that he thinks there is a greater possibility that there’s life on other planets. But what would it mean if that life worshiped God, too? What if the Predator is a Methodist?  Or the alien is a Seventh Day Adventist? What would Dawkins say if he opened the front door and found a dalek clutching The Book of Mormon? If he wants to get rid of him, the easiest answer is, "I'm sorry, I'm a Roman Catholic..

    What is this?

    This website used to host my blogs when I was freelance, and here are all my old posts...

    Archives

    October 2022
    January 2020
    July 2018
    December 2016
    August 2016
    March 2016
    January 2016
    January 2013
    September 2012
    August 2012
    July 2012
    June 2012
    May 2012
    April 2012
    March 2012
    February 2012
    January 2012
    December 2011
    November 2011
    October 2011
    September 2011
    August 2011
    July 2011
    June 2011
    May 2011
    April 2011
    March 2011

    Categories

    All
    1970s
    Abortion
    Ac Grayling
    Agatha Christie
    Aids
    Alien
    Alien 4
    America
    Anarchism
    Andrew Breitbart
    Anglican Church
    Anthony Weiner
    Art
    Atheism
    Baboons
    Baptist Church
    Baptists
    Barack Obama
    Bbc
    Benedictines
    Betty Warner
    Bobby Kennedy
    Bob Woodward
    Bombay Beach
    Brain Damage
    Brezhnev
    Brian Blessed
    Buddhism
    Bush
    California
    Calvin Coolidge
    Cambridge
    Cambridge University
    Capitalism
    Carl Bernstein
    Catholic Church
    Catholicism
    Charles Coulombe
    Child Abuse
    Christianity
    Conservatism
    Conservative
    Conservative Party
    Conservatives
    Contraception
    Couperin
    Dan Hannan
    David Cameron
    David Cronenberg
    Dawn Of The Dead
    Day Of The Dead
    Death
    Dennis Kucinich
    Dennis Potter
    De Sade
    Dmv
    Doctor Who
    Doctor Who
    Dogs
    Driving
    Dualism
    Easter
    Eczema
    Ed Miliband
    Edward Thomas
    England
    European Union
    Euroscepticism
    Evangelical Christianity
    Faith
    Fascism
    Father Ray Blake
    Feminism
    Fianna Fail
    Ford
    French Revolution
    Friends
    Geoffrey Howe
    George Clooney
    George Mcgovern
    Gesualdo
    Grindhouse
    Halloween
    Harold Macmillan
    History Today
    Hogarth
    Hollywood
    Horror Movies
    Hubert Humphrey
    James Bond
    Janet Daley
    Jeremy Bentham
    Jim Callaghan
    Jimmy Carter
    Johann Hari
    John Carpenter
    John Le Carre
    Kennedy
    Land Of The Dead
    Las Vegas
    Lent
    Leviathan
    Liberalism
    Liberal Party
    Liberals
    Libertarian
    Liberty
    Lionel Chetwynd
    London Riots
    Los Angeles
    Lucio Fulci
    Marat
    Margaret Slee
    Margaret Thatcher
    Marriage
    Martin Luther King Jr
    Marxism
    Materialism
    Matt Smith
    Meryl Streep
    Miss Marple
    Mojave Desert
    Monarchy
    Moral Majority
    Movie Industry
    Movies
    National Front
    New Atheism
    New York
    Night Of The Living Dead
    Nixon
    Noomi Rapace
    Obamacare
    Occupy Wall Street
    Pascal's Wager
    Paul Lay
    Pete Walker
    Piss Christ
    Plagiarism
    Planned Parenthood
    Plato
    Politics
    Poodles
    Pope Benedict Xvi
    Porn
    Pornography
    Positivism
    Prometheus
    Quatermass
    Queen Elizabeth Ii
    Reagan
    Religion
    Republican
    Richard Dawkins
    Richard Nixon
    Rick Santorum
    Robert Kennedy
    Robert Vaugh
    Roger Moore
    Roman Catholics
    Ronald Reagan
    Ron Paul
    Russell T Davies
    Salton Sea
    Sarah Palin
    Sean Connery
    Sex
    Sherlock Holmes
    Socialism
    Spiders
    Spies
    Stanley Sheinbaum
    Stephen Moffat
    St Paul
    Tea Party
    Ted Bundy
    Ted Kennedy
    The Daily Telegraph
    The English
    The Exocist
    The Exorcist
    The Good Book
    The Iron Lady
    The Omen
    The Shard
    The Thing
    They Live
    Tinker Tailer Soldier Spy
    Tobacco
    Toby Jackman
    Tories
    Tower Of Babel
    Travel
    Ufos
    Ukip
    Unemployment
    University Of Cambridge
    Violence
    Watergate
    Welfare State
    Whigs
    William Peter Blatty
    Workfare
    Yoga
    Yom Kippur
    Zen
    Zombies

    RSS Feed

Web Hosting by iPage